Walmart

WALMART INC.

NYSE: WMT · Consumer Staples

Q1 FY2027 Earnings · Interactive Review

Quarter ended April 30, 2026 · Reported May 21, 2026

Executive Summary

Walmart delivered a solid top-line beat in Q1 FY27, with revenue growing 7.3% YoY to $177.8B. Global eCommerce surged 26%, advertising grew 37%, and comparable sales remained resilient. However, the market sold off post-earnings on a cautious Q2 outlook (adj. EPS $0.72–$0.74 vs. ~$0.75 consensus) amid higher fuel costs and signs of pressure on lower-income shoppers. The post-earnings dip may represent an attractive entry for long-term investors.

177.8
Billion
Net Revenue (+7.3%)
0.66
Per Share
Adj. EPS · In-Line
26
Percent
Global eCommerce Growth
37
Percent
Global Advertising Growth

CEO & CFO Commentary

"The team delivered strong sales growth for the quarter... Transaction growth in the U.S. was the strongest we've seen in 6 quarters. We're gaining market share... The business is performing how we expect it to."

— John Furner, CEO

"Higher fuel costs represent a meaningful headwind — approximately $175M in Q1 alone — and we expect that pressure to persist or intensify into Q2."

— John David Rainey, CFO

New CEO Furner highlighted omnichannel momentum and ~7,200 rollback price investments, including value grilling bundles, underscoring Walmart's value leadership.

Store-fulfilled delivery more than doubled over two years; over 36% of Walmart U.S. orders delivered in under 3 hours — a key competitive moat.

CFO Rainey flagged that lower-income consumers, while still shopping Walmart, are pulling back on fuel purchases and discretionary items as gas prices exceed $4.60/gallon in some markets.

Pharmacy reimbursement changes (Maximum Fair Price legislation) created an ~100 bps drag on U.S. comp sales — a regulatory headwind expected to persist.

Segment Performance

Comparable Sales (ex-fuel)

Q4 FY26 vs Q1 FY27

eCommerce Growth

Q1 FY27 YoY % by segment

High-Margin Revenue Streams

Q1 FY27 YoY growth %

Key Performance Indicators

+4.1%
WMT U.S. Comp Sales
Strongest txn growth in 6 qtrs
+3.9%
Sam's Club Comp Sales
eCommerce ~20% of sales ex-fuel
+10.1%
International Net Sales (cc)
eCommerce +27%
+17.4%
Membership & Other Income
Strong Sam's + Walmart+ growth
$62.6B
Inventory (+8.9%)
Healthy seasonal positioning
$4.7B
Operating Cash Flow
FCF -$1.9B (investment timing)
$2.1B
Share Repurchases
Part of $30B authorization
+6 bps
Gross Margin Rate
Led by Walmart U.S.

Margin Driver Analysis (Interactive)

Relative impact of key tailwinds (+) and headwinds (−) on operating margin outlook

Bull Case

$100 – $115

  • eCommerce and ad revenue compound at high margins
  • Continued market share gains across income cohorts
  • Value positioning wins in prolonged consumer caution
  • ~50% automated fulfillment drives structural cost improvement

Bear Case

$68 – $80

  • Prolonged fuel & cost inflation erodes operating margins
  • Lower-income consumer deterioration accelerates
  • Pharmacy headwinds and regulatory changes deepen
  • Premium valuation compresses on sustained EPS misses

Guidance Snapshot

Q2 FY2027

Net Sales Growth (cc) +4–5%
Adj. Op. Income (cc) +7–10%
Adj. EPS $0.72–$0.74

* Below consensus ~$0.75 — driver of post-earnings sell-off

Full-Year FY2027

Net Sales Growth (cc) Reiterated
Adj. Op. Income (cc) Reiterated
Management Signal Confident

Full-year guidance intact signals H2 recovery confidence

Key Watch Items

  • Fuel price trajectory
  • Low-income consumer health
  • Pharmacy reimbursement impact
  • eCommerce margin inflection

Investment Recommendation

BUY

Fair Value: $88 – $96

Post-earnings dip offers attractive entry for long-term investors. Walmart's omnichannel moat, advertising flywheel, and scale advantages justify a premium valuation. Near-term fuel headwinds are real but transitory vs. structural eCommerce and ad growth.

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